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In recent times there has been a lot of focus in looking at overseas markets for superior gains and as a hedge against the falling dollar. One country which has received a huge amount of attention and investment dollars is obviously China, however, it appears to me that finding value in China is getting increasingly more difficult. There has been somewhat of a herd mentality with many people rushing out to buy stock in Chinese companies, with little or no regard to whether or not it represents a good investment. Some people who would normally spend hours when researching a domestic company as a potential investment seem to throw caution to the wind when it comes to overseas investments. To some extent "a rising tide floats all boats", but there are excellent opportunities in China and there are, how do I put it, "less than stellar" opportunities in China. When the inevitable correction comes we will see which companies are the real deal and which are just playing with smoke and mirrors.
One company that I believe is the real deal and represents true value for the investor is Chemspec International, Ltd. (CPC).
Chemspec is a contract manufacturer of highly engineered specialty chemicals and the largest manufacturer of fluorinated specialty chemicals in China. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, with four additional facilities in surrounding provinces. The company’s chemicals are used as building blocks for more advanced chemicals or to enhance the performance of the end products of its clients. It sells primarily companies in the electronics, pharmaceutical and agrochemical sectors. Chemspec was founded in 1996 and underwent IPO in June of 2009, with a price of $9.
The area of contract manufacturing has grown immensely in recent years, both domestically and overseas, with many companies choosing to outsource what would have normally remained in-house. Chemspec's blue-chip end-users include major global TFT Liquid Crystal suppliers, one of the world's top global agrochemical companies and four of the world's top ten pharmaceutical companies by sales.
Chemspec trades at a P/E of 7.1 and a price/book of 1.51 with a current ratio of 2.99. The company has demonstrated excellent profitability in the past, however has been affected a little by the economic downturn, resulting in reduced earnings. The management appear to be making all the right moves to navigate through these difficult times, focusing on R&D and expanding facilities. The stock currently trades at $7.31, up significantly from the 52 week low, but still well below the IPO price. I would anticipate a 12-month target price of $9-10.
Disclosure: At the time of writing the author held shares in Chemspec International, Ltd. (CPC).
Friedman Industries, Inc. (FRD) is a microcap value stock engaged in steel and pipe processing and distribution. The company divides its products into two main groups: coil and tubular products. Friedman Industries, Inc (FRD) sells coil products primarily to steel distributors and customers fabricating steel products, such as storage tanks, steel buildings, farm machinery and equipment, construction equipment or transportation equipment, located primarily in the midwestern, southwestern and southeastern sections of the United States. The company's principal customers for tubular products are steel and pipe distributors, piling contractors and U.S. Steel Tubular Products, Inc. (USS).
The company comes with a great set of fundamentals, trading at a P/E of 2.5 and a price/book of 0.7 with a current ratio of 3.9 and very little debt. The company has been steadily growing earnings and sales over the past few years, and has paid a dividend for the past 10 years (currently 3.5% yield).
Despite the current economic slow down, I am confident that a company of the strength of Friedman Industries will be among the survivors, particularly as the manufacturing and construction industries begin to pick up in the coming quarters. Friedman Industries boasts a return on equity of close to 30% and a 5-year historical EPS growth rate of 31.7%. These are the kind of numbers that small cap value investors love to see. The stock price has already made a significant move upwards from its 52 week low of $3.82 in March, and has in fact just broken through its 200 day moving average, but I believe that plenty of upside still remains to be seen. I would be looking for a 12-month price target of around $12-13 as the economic outlook begins to improve.
Disclosure: At the time of writing the author held shares in Friedman Industries, Inc. (FRD).
Air T, Inc. (AIRT) is a microcap value stock which operates in two industry segments: providing overnight air cargo services to the air express delivery industry through its wholly owned subsidiaries, Mountain Air Cargo, Inc. (MAC) and CSA Air, Inc. (CSA), and aviation ground support and other specialized equipment products and services to passenger and cargo airlines, airports and the military, through its wholly owned subsidiary, Global Ground Support, LLC (GGS) and Global Aviation Services, LLC (GAS). The company has the kind of fundamentals that Warren Buffett would love - if only he were able to trade a company this small. Air T, Inc. (AIRT) trades at a P/E of 4.4 and a price/book of 1.03 with a current ratio of 3.1 and very little debt. The company has been steadily growing earnings and sales over the past few years and pays a dividend of 3.7% which is pretty impressive for a company of its size. While there are a number of other microcap dividend payers, I have struggled to find one that I believe is quite as attractive as Air T, Inc. (AIRT). The company recently announced an annual dividend payment of $0.33 - an increase on last year's $0.30 figure despite the tough economic climate.
I find that significant insider ownership is often one of the most important factors to consider when looking to invest in small and microcap companies. Company Chairman, Walter Clark, owns around 6% of the company's stock giving me confidence that the company holds the interests of its shareholders as a high priority. The company recently announced an order for 29 plane deicers, worth $11.5 million from the US Air Force as part of an ongoing multiyear contract with the US Air Force. The company also has strong ties with FedEx, operating a fleet of 95 planes as part of the FedEx distribution network.While Air T, Inc. (AIRT) may not yet be a household name (it may never be), the most profitable investments are often the ones where you get in on the ground floor. I find it hard to believe that companies such as Wal-Mart (WMT) or Google (GOOG) will double or triple in size any time soon - they've had impressive runs already. However, a microcap value stock of the caliber of Air T, Inc. (AIRT) could quite easily double or triple over the next year or two.Disclosure: At the time of writing the author held shares in Air T (AIRT).
China Fire & Security Group (CFSG) supplies industrial fire safety products and systems to companies in the iron and steel, power and petrochemical industries in China. The company today announced fourth quarter results which beat analyst estimations, showing increased revenue and earnings. The company is in a strong financial position with no debt and a healthy cash flow.
In the past, China has not been known for its strong track record in the arena of health and safety, but as the country continues to show tremendous growth, it makes sense that they will endeavor to protect their investments. Companies like China Fire & Security Group (CFSG) should flourish as a result. Interestingly, the company has a high insider ownership and yet has almost a 10% short interest.
China Fire & Security Group (CFSG) has been on my watchlist for several months as it is in a strong position to benefit from any government infrastructure spending and stimulus efforts in China.
Disclosure: At the time of writing the author did not hold shares in China Fire & Security Group (CFSG).
Raven Industries (RAVN) is an industrial manufacturing company consisting of three Raven divisions and one subsidiary: Engineered Films, Flow Controls, Electronic Systems and Aerostar International.
The company has practically no debt and has consistently grown sales and earnings in recent years. Raven Industries (RAVN) boasts an excellent ROI of 26.2% over the past 5 years, compared to just 12.8% for the S&P 500. The company has a long track record of success and the stock price should soon recover from close to its 52 week low of $20.60.
Raven Industries(RAVN) currently trades at a trailing P/E of 12.87 and I anticipate a 12-month price target of $40 as the economic outlook improves in the second half of the year.
Disclosure: At the time of writing the author did not hold shares in Raven Industries (RAVN).
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